What will be Kubiak's impact on Ray Rice in fantasy play?

What will be Kubiak's impact on Ray Rice in fantasy play?
January 28, 2014, 11:00 pm
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For some people, the most important questions about the Ravens’ hiring of Gary Kubiak as offensive coordinator won’t be answered by how Baltimore fares overall on offense next season. No, the answers will come in the game summary, with the numbers next to the names of individual players.

We’re talking, of course, about fantasy football players.

So, how will Kubiak’s arrival affect perhaps the Ravens’ most disappointing player from a fantasy standpoint from this season — Ray Rice? Early returns seem to be mixed.

Take, for example, what the fantasy writers at Rant Sports had to say. The headline on Jack Delaney’s piece: “Gary Kubiak will ruin the fantasy value of Ray Rice.” And from Bill Pivetz: “Gary Kubiak will help Ray Rice’s production and value.”

They would seem to have it covered.

Why would Kubiak ruin Rice? Delaney cites how much Kubiak ran Arian Foster while he coached the Houston Texans.

“My main concern with Kubiak is that he will overuse Rice, and this will result in Rice being worn out or becoming injured. Rice has only rushed the ball 300 times or more in a season once in his career. While under Kubiak, Arian Foster rushed the ball more than 300 times in both full seasons that he played. … If Kubiak finds early success with Rice, I do not expect him to be able to finish the full season due to injury and overuse.”

On the other hand, why will Kubiak make Rice a better fantasy choice in 2014?

Pivetz wrote: “Looking at the Ravens’ 2013 play-calling, Joe Flacco threw the ball 614 times. Ravens running backs rushed a combined 423 times. Rice had only 214 carries, about 21 percent of all plays. Rice is the best player on the team and needs to have a much bigger presence on offense.”

Ah, so Kubiak will be good for Rice in fantasy football because he’ll use Rice more. And Kubiak will be bad for Rice in fantasy football because he’ll use Rice more.

OK, thanks for clearing that up.

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